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For many people, the word "manufacturing" conjures up
a picture of a world of tangible objects, where physical transformation
and assembly processes convert raw materials into products of almost
infinite variety.
Go back enough years, and this focus on the materials and physical
processes of manufacturing was key to running a viable business.
Making money depended on efficient use of the means of production
- the materials, machines and factory workers.
But the last few decades have seen a steady transition away from
this focus on the material handling side of the business. Now, the
key asset of a manufacturing business is its know-how. The know-how
in design, in manufacturing processes, in production management,
in distribution, and in commercial aspects, (such as the ability
to create franchise or licensing deals to cover new markets) these
are the sources of competitive advantage.
Globalisation and improvements in global transportation have worked
hand-in-hand to drive this change. Consider engineers at a European
electronics manufacturer, planning future production. They have
new parameters to look at. For example, they are no longer building
products for local consumption; they are building products that
will be used around the world. Also, when they consider their options
for production, they know that infrastructure improvement in the
"low cost" economies make it worth investigating the location
of factories in these regions. So the alternatives they will have
to evaluate include a highly automated, high-tech production line
in Europe, serviced by a few high cost operators and maintenance
organisations; and a traditional production line in a lower cost
region, where there is only the capability to run and maintain basic
equipment and processes. This would require different enterprise
applications, Warehouse Management Systems rather than Manufacturing
Execution Systems.
Given this neatly-defined problem, it is easy to imagine a well-defined
calculation producing the "right" answer. However, the
big picture of manufacturing is not nearly so well-defined, and
senior managers of manufacturing organisations have to ponder on
a range of big questions to which there are no easy answers.
For example, consider the lifecycle of a can of soft drink. Some
years ago, researchers at Cardiff Business School studied the life
of the aluminium used to make the can. Starting the clock at the
moment the bauxite ore was scooped out of the ground in Australia,
and then 319 days later the can was available on a supermarket shelf
in the UK.
Now, imagine your business includes something to do with canned
soft drinks, and you are trying to improve your position in this
319-day value-chain of processes and business-to-business transactions
that result in the offer of drink to the consumer. The first question
you probably want to ask is where is the profit? This is a key aspect
as you try to guide your organisation to the parts of the value
chain that are right for you. But wait a minute. If your existing
know-how is in bottling and canning, it is highly unlikely that
you are going to advise your company to buy a bauxite mine and hire
some miners - whatever the profit from that stage of the process.
But why not?
Of course, the answer is to do with know-how. You would quickly
recognise that it would take years for your company to progress
far enough along the bauxite mining learning curve for you to be
competitive with specialist companies in the field. So, unless you
had discovered, or felt you could discover, some new "trick"
to this business, your bauxite mining venture could handicap your
business for many years.
This is an extreme example, and seems relatively easy to answer.
However, it is worth remembering that we are conditioned by the
thinking of our times. In a different era, Henry Ford was very successful
with a vertically integrated business. He controlled just about
everything needed to make Model-T Fords - from rubber plantations
for tyres, to assembly plants for final production. But in the present
era, this is not a solution that is generally accepted as an optimum
response to the questions that face manufacturing companies. Instead,
a widely accepted blueprint for strategy is to focus on core competence,
become the unbeatable world leader, and then participate in every
value chain that needs this competence.
But this approach contains the concept of core competence, which
can be quite slippery in the wrong hands. It is perhaps wise to
think of the phrase "added-value" whenever you consider
"core-competence" - this at least leads to fairly quick
realisation that it is not enough simply to consider a skill. For
example, imagine your company is the very best at a specialist form
of plastic injection moulding - say, creating results that look
like natural rock. Does this necessarily mean your "core-competence"
is creation of rock-simulation plastics? In addition, remember to
consider the "added-value" in this business. To do this,
you need to understand the demand, and forecast demand, for this
particular type of plastic, and be able to judge the price the market
will bear. Will your skills allow you to charge a premium? Is the
level of demand enough to allow you to grow? As soon as you start
this analysis, it becomes clear that there are many factors that
command a premium price.
One of the key difficulties is forecasting. Like people throughout
history, we recognise that the rate of change now is faster than
ever before! Of course, everyone has been right. As tools to communicate,
drive, manage and assimilate change have improved, so has the rate
of change increased to stay approximately at the constant limit
that people, - using the tools of the day, - can handle. Advanced
Planning Systems combined with Internet based daily conferences
can at least ensure everyone in a supply network is working to the
same demand plan.
However, of course, there are some absolute values involved in
planning manufacturing businesses - for example, making a decision
to build a factory. The payback period for the factory must be less
than the length of time for which demand for the product can be
forecast. The increasing rate of change reduces the time horizons
of reliable forecasting, but if these horizons are still beyond
the payback period, then it is still possible to make investment
decisions in the usual way. If, however, the increased rate of change
means that the longest time horizon for forecasts is shorter than
the payback period for the factory, then things have to change.
At the factory level, one response is flexible production facilities.
Instead of the single purpose production line, one can put together
a set of machines and workcells that can quickly and economically
be reconfigured to produce alternative products. Faced with this
additional requirement, the engineers we looked at earlier, planning
production for a European electronics manufacturer, now have to
imagine the transition plans they could build into the two alternative
production strategies they are considering. For the highly-automated
European production line, they can probably implement even higher-tech,
flexible systems. For the traditional production line destined for
a low-cost region, it may make economic sense to disassemble and
rebuild the line as needed.
Engineering and production are not the only parts of a manufacturing
business. At the financial level, a classic business strategy when
faced with uncertainty is to convert fixed costs into variable costs.
Don't buy assets, rent them. It is a fairly short step from here
to outsourcing, subcontract manufacturing, partnerships and joint
ventures.
For the engineers, this environment creates new possibilities.
It may have been difficult to justify highly-automated, flexible
production facilities to satisfy the demands of just one company.
But if these facilities are transferred to an outsourcer, or subcontract
manufacturer, then suddenly they can be applied to the needs of
multiple companies, who are now the customers for the subcontract
manufacturer. The result is an easier justification for the additional
up-front cost of flexible factories.
So the scene is set for exactly what we observe in the market today
- namely, a tendency towards fragmentation. Organisations have recognised
that the difficulty they have in forecasting the future means they
can no longer operate with the economy-of-scale, but inflexibility,
of an oil tanker - instead they must behave like a flotilla of synchronised
speedboats. Sometimes these smaller units operate under the original
enterprise umbrella, sometimes they are made independent, or they
merge with external companies. Whatever the corporate structure,
information technology has offered the capability to aggregate and
consolidate status information from each of the smaller units, and
communicate new requirements, thus enabling coordination of the
multiple speedboat organisations.
This is the environment in which know-how becomes the critical
asset. To be the king-pin, that can drive supplier prices down,
and command premium prices from customers, your organisation has
to know how all the various nodes in the resulting value network
fit together, not just how they fit now, but also how they may be
made to fit together in the future.
If your organisation has this know-how, then you can ask, and answer,
the big questions. Does a car manufacturer need to make cars? Perhaps
it is enough to place subcontracts with independent designers in
tune with consumer preferences, then work with a manufacturing engineering
partner who can plan how to produce the resulting designs, and then
work with subcontract manufacturers who can build cars on demand?
Different industries have reacted to this environment in different
ways. In chemicals, for example, there has been a polarisation of
strategies. Some companies have moved towards offering 'solutions'.
For example, instead of selling paint by the kilogram, they have
set up painting operations for customers and are being paid per
painted unit. Other chemical companies have selected materials for
which they feel confident about demand, and focused on large-scale,
low-cost production and distribution operations. In electronics,
sub-contract manufacturing has become a major factor in almost all
high-volume production.
So the new manufacturing has moved a long way from the heat, the
sound and the smell of material transformation processes. IT applications
must enable an industry network to satisfy customers, with each
business in the network adding optimum value. To understand the
applications, and how they fit together, you will need a deep appreciation
of the design, production and distribution processes. But you will
control the network from your computer terminal.
Peter
Thorne
peter.thorne@cambashi.com
A version of this article was first published in Conspectus in
December 2003.,
Other Cambashi articles that may be of interest:
There's
more to life than automated drafting tools for electrical design
Who
will pay for the Building Information model?
Is
PLM applicable to AEC?
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