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BEYOND THE YEAR 2000
Cambashi's 10th
annual seminar gives authoritative insight into trends in the
market place
CBS.021/04/99/F
"Today's ERP systems keep the score - but tomorrow's
businesses will need systems that provide continuous business improvement"
13 April 1999: developers and vendors of engineering
and manufacturing computer systems were today warned against over-reaction
to issues associated with the year 2000 and Euro compliance at the
tenth annual seminar run by Cambashi, the UK's leading consultancy
specialising in engineering and manufacturing IT.
Among the predictions was the imminent demise
of 2D (computer-aided design (CAD) in favour of 3D solid modelling,
and a move away from "ERP" (Enterprise Resource Planning" to a new
technology, "ORP (Optimisation of Resources and Processes). "The
manufacturing IT industry is going through troubled times at present,
but we forecast a recovery for the year 2000," said Cambashi's founder
and managing director, Mike Evans. "Once users have overcome their
current preoccupation with Y2K and Euro problems, they will begin
to look beyond ERP to a new generation of technology that does more
than keep the score. We predict the emergence of ORP - systems that
provide for a continuous improvement in business performance."
The seminar, held at Chilford Hall, Linton, just
outside Cambridge, attracted directors and senior managers from
many of the leading manufacturing IT suppliers in the UK and Europe,
including companies such as Autodesk, Bentley Systems, Cadcentre,
CoCreate, the Computing Suppliers Federation, Delcam, Greenock Bv,
Hewlett-Packard, ICL, SAP, Siemens, Silicon Graphics and Smallworld.
Entitled "Scylla and Charybdis", the seminar took
an in-depth look at the current position of vendors and likely future
trends in the industry, and gave advice on how to negotiate the
difficult year ahead. The speakers included Cambashi's top consultants,
who are among Europe's leading authorities on the market for engineering
and manufacturing computer systems, as well as a number of invited
experts. Cambashi's Peter Thorne and Beverley Johnson began by giving
an in-depth look at the changing trend in users expenditure. They
demonstrated that 1998 had been a year of considerable and rapid
change from the vendors' point of view, but that 1999 had shown
a decline, particularly in sales of enterprise-wide manufacturing
business systems (ERP - "Enterprise Resource Planning"). The conclusion
was that 1999 would be a difficult year for manufacturers, and this
would be reflected in IT system sales. However, once the initial
problems associated with the Millennium bug and Euro compliance
were overcome, the year 2000 should see solid growth.
Derek Ashburner of Kvaerner Corporation, a major
corporate user of manufacturing IT systems, gave the keynote presentation
on "How your sales team can help me", highlighting the buyer's dilemma
in making the right choice. He maintained that some software applications
are not tested properly, and are shipped before they are ready for
the market. Kvaerner needed reliable IT systems and suppliers who
could provide detailed advice on the best systems implementation
to suit its particular business needs. He also explained that, in
common with many large organisations, Kvaerner is reducing the number
of its sub-contract suppliers, looking instead for long-term relationships.
The seminar then split into two parallel sessions.
One of these focussed on the future of computer-aided design and
manufacturing business systems. The other, on sales techniques,
examined changes in direct and indirect sales models, and giving
an insight into how the latest knowledge management techniques can
be used to improve sales and marketing productivity.
Three IT system resellers were then put on the
spot with a question and answer session on their approach to the
business. Allan Behrens, managing director of design systems specialist
Cadtek Systems; Phill Nightingale, from Photonic, one of the country's
largest AutoCAD resellers; and Russell Howarth from ERP/MRP systems
vendor Apex Systems, had all gone recent through mergers and acquisitions,
and gave a succinct and amusing account of the changes in their
business models.
Cambashi's founder and managing director Mike
Evans drew the day to a close with "Tales of Brave Ulysses - where
are we going?" He concluded that, although Ulysses managed to negotiate
between Scylla (the sea monster) and Charybdis (the whirlpool) with
the loss of only six sailors, manufacturing IT systems companies
were still experiencing difficult times. However, with careful planning
and attention to users' needs, they had a bright future.
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